NCAA Football Week 14 Picks
West Virginia (-2) at South Florida
West Virginia needs a win over the Bulls and for Cincinnati (-11) at Connecticut. This is also the last Thursday night game where Craig James will be doing color commentary, which is a really bitter sweet moment. South Florida is fighting for bowl eligibility. Geno Smith leads the sixth best passing attack in the country and will probably break 4000 yards passing against the Bulls. With so much on the line for the Mountaineers I think they’ll get the win.
UCLA at Oregon (-28)
There are plenty of UCLA logos at Autzen Stadium right now and it makes me feel a little sick. At least I’m hearing that Don Essig will say, “It never rains in Autzen Stadium” before the game. People just need their forecast.
UCLA got rocked last week 50-0 and Rick Neuheisel has since been fired. I don’t think the win one for the gipper concept applies for this game because UCLA sucks and Oregon is really good. If Prince has to throw the ball more than 25 times this game is going to get ugly. UCLA is totally one dimensional and with Terrence Mitchell playing so well the Ducks can afford to stack the box and reap the benefits from Bruin turnovers. There’s no way Oregon doesn’t win or cover.
Texas at Baylor (-3)
Robert Griffin III has his last hurrah against the Longhorns. The game is in Waco which has been a surprisingly fun place to see football this season. Griffin was knocked out of last weeks game and with a strong performance this week he could reinsert himself in to the Heisman race. The Longhorns have probably the Big 12’s best defense and will be making a bowl game. The defensive coordinator for Texas was the Mississippi defensive coordinator last year and probably did the best job of holding down Cam Newton, the Bulldogs lost 17-14. With this being the last great stand of Robert Griffin III I like the odds of the Bears covering the spread.
Georgia at LSU (-14)
The Tigers are just an unstoppable force. It’s absolutely amazing how good these guys are and the ticket price for the Bama-LSU game went for like 4 times what the SEC championship game is getting. Bama was the smarter team. They don’t even have to play again before the national championship game while LSU has to play in the conference title game. This should be a cake walk.
Oklahoma at Oklahoma State (-3)
I could see this game going either direction. The only team Oklahoma lost to was a Texas Tech squad that was really good at passing the football, very similar to this Cowboy offense that has a defense that causes a lot of turnovers. Brandon Weeden didn’t have a good game two weeks ago against the Cyclones and the Cowboys beat themselves. I don’t see a repeat performance and I expect Oklahoma State to take care of business and keep the outside shot at a title game alive.
Virginia Tech at Clemson (+7)
It’s the game that gets almost nobody in the stands. You know how other bowl games always do aerial shots of the stadium? You won’t ever see those with the ACC championship game, because nobody goes. Clemson beat Virginia Tech 23-3 at the beginning of the season but these two teams have had a lot happen since then, with Clemson stumbling and Virginia Tech has only gotten better. With the game at a neutral field I like Clemson to cover but Virginia Tech to win. The Hokies in a BCS bowl game, shocking.
Michigan State (+10) at Wisconsin
These two teams had one of the most exciting games of the season when Sparty hit a hail mary with no time left to upset the Badgers. Montee Ball is five touchdowns shy of breaking Barry Sanders record of 39 rushing touchdowns in a season and Russell Wilson has only thrown three picks all year, two of which came against the Spartans. I like Wisconsin to go to the Rose Bowl, but I like Michigan State to keep it close.